Canada's Housing Bubble

Analysis of the real estate bubble in Canada -- http://CanadaBubble.com

Competition Bureau's MLS challenge ‘disappointing,' CREA says Print E-mail

Jan 08, 2010 Richard Blackwell and Paul Waldie  Globe and Mail

Federal agency seeks to strike down what it calls ‘anti-competitive' rules

The federal Competition Bureau says it will challenge the restrictive rules that govern the multiple listing service (MLS) system used by most Canadian home sellers to list their properties.

The MLS system, run by the Canadian Real Estate Association, includes information that is only available to CREA members, and its structure impairs consumer choice, the bureau said Monday.

 
Ottawa says housing bubble not a concern Print E-mail

Feb 08, 2010 Bill Curry and Kevin Carmichael theglobeandmail.com

No plan to tighten mortgage rules

Iqaluit — Finance Minister Jim Flaherty appears to have no immediate plans to tighten Canadian mortgage rules despite the advice of senior bankers concerned about surging home prices.

Mr. Flaherty said he sees no evidence of a housing bubble in Canada.

 
Housing Rebound in Canada Spurs Talk of a New Bubble Print E-mail

Feb 08, 2010 Phred Dvorak online.wsj.com

Toronto - Dominic Carrasco first tried to sell his studio apartment here in January 2009. The only offers the 42-year-old massage therapist got were well below the 166,900 Canadian dollars he'd paid for it five years earlier.

Last month, Mr. Carrasco tried again. The condominium was snapped up by the woman in charge of posting the information to the real-estate listing site, for C$209,900, or US$196,003, 40% more than the highest bid last year.

 
What issue? Print E-mail

Feb 7, 2010 Garth Turner GreaterFool.ca

When asked by a reporter last week if Canada has a housing bubble (real estate prices increased by 20 times inflation last year), the official CMHC response was: “it is not clear that this perspective  is supported by the facts.”

Welcome to Canada. Enjoy the ride. Bags are in the seat pocket in front of you.

 
Greater Vancouver Latest Weekly Sales Data Print E-mail

Feb 07, 2010

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"Fear the Boom and Bust" a Hayek vs. Keynes Rap Anthem Print E-mail

Dim lights

 
Why I loathe the Olympics and why I hope they succeed Print E-mail

Feb 06, 2010 Pete McMartin Vancouver Sun

Well, here we go. Eight years of planning, almost $7 billion-worth of public funds expended, and enough treacly hype about the glory of sport to induce diabetes. There's something deflating about the realization the Games are finally upon us, like the lull after a sugar high.

 
Top Canadian Banks Want Government To Cool Off Rise In Home Prices Print E-mail

Feb 07, 2010 Intellpuke freeinternetpress.com

Canada's top bankers are pushing the government to clamp down on the mortgage market to cool off the rise in home prices.


The heads of the country's six largest banks have privately told policy makers that they fear the wide-ranging economic fallout of a U.S. style binge-and-collapse in housing. To head off any chance of that happening, they are willing to accept tighter rules on mortgages that would slow the real estate market, even though it would mean forgoing some short-term profits from giving out ever bigger mortgages as home prices jump.

 
This Crisis Won’t Stop Moving Print E-mail

Feb 06, 2010 Gretchen Morgenson nytimes.com

You know we’re in trouble when we’re told that the economic problems in Greece, Portugal and Spain, the most indebted countries in the euro zone, are likely to remain safely contained in those nations.

After all, we heard the same nonsense in 2007 from United States financial leaders talking about the subprime mortgage mess. Both Ben S. Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve Board, and Henry M. Paulson Jr., then the Treasury secretary, rolled out to reassure concerned investors that troubles in mortgage land wouldn’t permeate the rest of the economy.

 
Mainland Chinese buyers led luxury-home market recovery Print E-mail

Feb 06, 2010 Derrick Penner Vancouver Sun

Canada seen as a safe storehouse for personal wealth

It took a couple of months, but sales of luxury homes in 2009 caught up to the general real estate market driven largely by buyers from mainland China, one dealer in high-end homes has found.

 
Big Six banks urge Ottawa to tighten mortgage rules Print E-mail

Feb 06, 2010 Boyd Drman and Tara Perkins The Globe and Mail

CEOs tell The Globe they would forgo short-term profits and slow housing sector to avoid any chance of U.S.-style collapse

Canada's top bankers are pushing the government to clamp down on the mortgage market to cool off the rise in home prices.

The heads of the country's six largest banks have privately told policy makers that they fear the wide-ranging economic fallout of a U.S. style binge-and-collapse in housing. To head off any chance of that happening, they are willing to accept tighter rules on mortgages that would slow the real estate market, even though it would mean forgoing some short-term profits from giving out ever bigger mortgages as home prices jump.

 
The hot housing and mortgage edition Print E-mail

Feb 5, 2010 Rob Carrick theglobeandmail.com

Is it best to go with a variable-rate or fixed-rate mortgage, is there a bubble in home prices and a close-up of Vancouver and Toronto markets

Welcome to the Globe and Mail Personal Finance Reader. I’m Rob Carrick, personal finance columnist at The Globe, and each week I compile a list of articles, blog postings, videos and websites that represent the best of what the online world has to offer on money-related subjects.

 
Is Canada in the midst of a housing bubble? Print E-mail

Feb 5, 2010 Mark Milke Frontier Centre for Public Policy

Calgary, AB - Is Canada in the midst of a housing bubble? The Bank of Canada doesn’t yet think so. In his recent speech on behalf of the central bank, deputy governor Timothy Lane mostly downplayed the possibility that house prices in Canada are at dangerous, bubble-like levels.

 
The Froogle Scott Chronicles: Mortgaging Our Souls In Paradise – Part 3: Priced Out Forever? Vancouver Renters and Basement Suites Print E-mail

Feb 04, 2010  Froogle Scott & vreaa VREAA

In other times, and other places, renting was and is the norm. But during the kind of runaway real estate boom that Vancouver has experienced, just about everybody who can buy, eventually does.  The cheap loans and social forces are irresistible. Ownership rates rise to record highs. The renter pool becomes more highly concentrated with vagabonds and the indigent. Renters become an underclass, targets of derision and subjects of pity. As with all things human and economic, however, once this process has moved as far as it can in one direction, the only way forward is for it to come back. There may well come a time when the renters rise up out of their basement suites; a time when renting comes to be seen as prudent, as sensible, as responsible, as trendy, as wise. -vreaa Click to read Part 1, Part2

 
The Market Indicators Revised Print E-mail

Jan 05, 2010 Marco A. Murillo

A recent article by developer James Sclouw from the Canadian Home Builders Association draws some interesting notes and numbers about the situation of the market, nowadays.

His point of view is that the market, after a booming period of almost 7 years has already peaked, gone down and might be showing signs of recovery already. But even he is not optimistic seeing a real recovery, as the strength of current prices might weaken again past the Olympic Games. It seems to me that he could be advising that if home owners do not sell now, they will have to lower their expectations of income gains on real estate investment for the next five years.

 
Lost productivity could cost each Canadian $30,000: Carney Print E-mail

Feb 04, 2010 Paul Vieira Financial Post

Carney warns job growth will be slow, economic growth could be limited to no more than 2% for much of this decade

Ottawa -- Mark Carney, the governor of the Bank of Canada, said on Thursday every Canadian stands to lose $30,000 in income over the next decade — a figure that amounts to nearly $1-trillion — unless Canada improves its “abysmal” productivity levels.

 
Carney sees tough recovery for economy, no quick return to good old days Print E-mail

Feb 04, 2010 The Canadian Press

Winnipeg - Recovery from the global recession is at hand, but Canadian workers and companies should not assume a quick return to the good, old days, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney is warning.

The global recession has dramatically changed the way the world economy will work, he said, and both corporations and labour in Canada will need to make serious adjustments if they want to flourish.

 
Greater Vancouver Sales 2007 - 2010 Print E-mail

Greater Vancouver sales 23.5 per cent decline in January 2010 (left blue line), listings up, sales down

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China Driving Australian RBA Policy – Sydney Housing Bubble About to Burst? Print E-mail

Feb 04, 2010 Duncan Davidson wallstreetpit.com

Australia was the first major economy to raise rates, and the Australian central bank (RBA) was widely expected to raise again last week. They held, and it started a parlor game of why the dog hadn’t barked. The RBA’s explanation was clear in its obtuseness. Today the WSJ seems to have found the answer, and reported it not once but twice, here and here, with the following explanation:

 
Bank of Canada sees economic thaw, warns of risks Print E-mail

Feb 04, 2010 Rod Nickel reuters

Winnipeg, Manitoba (Reuters) - The Canadian economy is looking up and should recover its lost ground this year, well ahead of Japan and Europe, though possible storms lie ahead, Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney said on Thursday.

"My message is relatively straightforward: the thaw is coming," he said. "The recovery has begun. After a brutal economic winter, spring is within sight."

 
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